Question

Will President Trump fire (or request and accept the resignation of) Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve?

Resolved :No10%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction10% (9% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

61.6

Community Peer Score

11.3

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs

Jerome Powell

Great Recession

Chair of the Federal Reserve

Exclusive: Trumpworld Fears Fed Cuts May Stoke Renewed Inflation

Breitbart•Dec 17, 2024

U.S. Fed expected to cut again, despite uncertain path ahead

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Fed Expected To Announce Another 25 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut—With 2025 Rate Cuts Hints In Forefront

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

15%

Will a US Federal Court rule on whether the President can fire the head of the Federal Reserve in 2025?

7.5%

Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025?

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