Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?

Resolved :Yes43%
42
10
Total Forecasters125
Community Prediction43% (30% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 43%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-11.8
Community Peer Score
19.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Adrian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Technology
2016-2017 Leaderboard
Meteorology
White House
Solar storm of 1859
Solar physics
NASA
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
United States
Space weather
Coronal mass ejection

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