Question

Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction11%

Make a Prediction

community: 11%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

84.9

Community Peer Score

10.0

median 11.0%mean 14.9%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Belarus

Russo-Ukrainian War

Alexander Lukashenko

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Belarus

Russo-Ukrainian War

Alexander Lukashenko

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

Kremlin sowing chaos with bomb threats and bribery to thwart Moldova's vote to join EU, authorities say

FOX News•Oct 12, 2024

Russia says it captured a southern Ukraine village in a push before winter comes

Associated Press•Oct 14, 2024

Russia was desperate to capture a tiny village in Ukraine before winter arrived

Independent•Oct 14, 2024

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Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%