Question

Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction11%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 11%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

84.9

Community Peer Score

10.0

median 11.0%mean 14.9%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Belarus

Russo-Ukrainian War

Alexander Lukashenko

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Belarus

Russo-Ukrainian War

Alexander Lukashenko

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

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Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%