Question

First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020?

Resolved :No2%

19 comments19

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction2% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.6

Community Peer Score

7.3

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jan 5, 2019

Closes:

Dec 1, 2019

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

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When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09-06

Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?

20%

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2038-12-29

Comments

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