Question

First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020?

Resolved :No

19 comments19

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.6

Community Peer Score

7.3

median 2.0%mean 5.0%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09-06

Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?

23%

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Comments

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