Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the identity of the author of anonymous NYT editorial become known in 2019?

Resolved :No14%
1
8
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction14% (10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 14%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
64.4
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
CredibleHulk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2019 Leaderboard
The New York Times

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