Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Attempted crewed Boeing CST-100 Starliner flight prior to 2020?

Resolved :No53%
8
6
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction53% (45% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 53%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-31.4
Community Peer Score
1.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Technology
2019 Leaderboard
NASA
Commercial Crew Development
Dragon 2
Boeing CST-100 Starliner

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