Question

Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026?

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Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction21.1% (12% - 25%)

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50%

community: 21.1%

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Authors:

dschwarz PeterWildeford will_aldred

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Regulation of AI

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

China

United States

We’ll Need To Anticipate AI Using A Lot Of Resources In Tomorrow’s World

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Google says customers can use its AI in ‘high-risk’ domains, so long as there’s human supervision

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Groq is 'unleashing the beast' to chip away at Nvidia's CUDA advantage

Business Insider•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?

75%

Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99%

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