Question
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction5.18 (3.77 - 7.01)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 3.767 | — |
| median | 5.177 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.007 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >25 | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
