81 forecasters

Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?

4%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

dschwarz PeterWildeford will_aldred

Opened:

May 17, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 19, 2023

Regulation of AI

Artificial Intelligence

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