Question

Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?

6
8
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction
5%
(2.8% - 12.6%)

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50%
community: 5%
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Authors:
dschwarzPeterWildefordwill_aldred
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023
Regulation of AI
Artificial Intelligence
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