Question

What will be the worldwide 7-day rolling average of confirmed mpox cases for June 30, 2023?

Resolved :118.15

8 comments8

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction8.15 (6.23 - 10.8)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

11.5%

6.233

8.153

10.78

0.1%

What was the final result?11

Community Baseline Score

53.0

Community Peer Score

9.4

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Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

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Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

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Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Chicago Department of Public Health

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Infectious disease

Medicine

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Rwanda and WHO declare end of Marburg outbreak after no new cases reported

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Rwanda's Marburg Virus Outbreak Declared Over

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

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What will be the worldwide 7-day rolling average of confirmed mpox cases for June 30, 2023?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?