Question

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

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Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction83% (60% - 90%)

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50%

community: 83%

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Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity standards

United States

Cyber-security regulation

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity standards

United States

Cyber-security regulation

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

56%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

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Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Comments

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?