Question

When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction2026-01-14 (2025-04-22 - 2027-07-01)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-01

...

2025-04-22 17:25

2026-01-14 07:31

2027-07-01 18:52

5.2%

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Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

United States

Gallup (company)

Key facts about Americans and guns

•Dec 15, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

The Polling Revolution: How AI Is Reshaping Public Opinion Research

Townhall•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

1.35

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

6.5%

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

United States

Gallup (company)

Key facts about Americans and guns

•Dec 15, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

The Polling Revolution: How AI Is Reshaping Public Opinion Research

Townhall•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

1.35

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

6.5%

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When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?

Make a Prediction

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Comments

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?