conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? | Date First Human Lands on Mars |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2030 | — |
| median | 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | 2044 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-01 | 5.9% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closed:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closed:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
