Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

conditional
condition

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023?

Resolved :No
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date First Human Lands on Mars

2035-03-23
Resolved :Annulled2035-03-23

Date First Human Lands on Mars

2037-03-03
9
0

Make a Prediction

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023?

Date First Human Lands on Mars

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-01
...
...
...
...
2030-06-14 11:46
2035-03-23 21:03
2044-09-13 22:23
5.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
Human mission to Mars
SpaceX Starship
Scott Alexander
Colonization of Mars

Comments

? comments