M

conditional

Make a Prediction

Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?

Date Putin Exits Presidency of Russia

PDF

CDF

The question "Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?" resolves.
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2035-01-01
...
...
...
...
2025-09-29 16:24
2028-02-02 08:32
2030-09-19 01:47
0.6%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closed:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035

Comments

? comments