Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional

Make a Prediction

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?

Date of Next US Financial Crisis

The question "Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?" resolves.
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-29
...
...
...
...
2024-11-12 09:07
2027-04-03 21:56
2031-01-08 14:51
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

? comments