conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? | When will GPT5 be announced? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 08 Aug 2024 | — |
| median | 17 Nov 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >15 May 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2026-05-15 | 35.9% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closed:May 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closed:May 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026
