Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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conditional
condition

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced?

Resolved :No
13 forecasters
if yes
if no

When will GPT5 be announced?

2025-11-17
Resolved :Annulled2025-11-17

When will GPT5 be announced?

2025-01-22
4
0

Make a Prediction

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced?

When will GPT5 be announced?

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2026-05-15
...
...
...
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2024-08-08 17:51
2025-11-17 14:18
>2026-05-15 00:00
35.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Machine learning
Linguistics
GPT
OpenAI
GPT2
Chatbot
Microsoft Azure
US Senate

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