Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Will the Palme d'Or, the top prize at the 2023 Cannes Film Festival, be awarded to a film from a European country?

Resolved :Yes67%
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction67% (63% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 67%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
44.0
Community Peer Score
8.3
Learn more about scores here.
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