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Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

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dschwarz will_aldred

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AI Safety

Elections

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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United States Department of Homeland Security

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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

95%

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Comments

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Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Elections

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

European Union Agency for Cybersecurity

Federal Bureau of Investigation

United States Department of Homeland Security

Illinois

Cyberwar: How Russian Hackers and Trolls Helped Elect a President

Brennan Center for Justice

United States

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

New Tests Reveal AI’s Capacity for Deception

Time•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

95%

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Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Comments

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?