Question

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

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Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction2% (1% - 10%)

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dschwarz will_aldred

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AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

World Intellectual Property Organization

Intellectual property

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

95%

Comments

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Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

World Intellectual Property Organization

Intellectual property

Exclusive: New Research Shows AI Strategically Lying

Time•Dec 19, 2024

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Here are the deals the 'AI arms race' could drive in 2025, according to 4 bankers from Goldman Sachs, BofA, and Axom Partners

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

95%

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Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Comments

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?