67 forecasters

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

May 23, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2023

Artificial Intelligence

Computing and Math

2021-2025 Leaderboard

The Rise Of Enforcement-Ready IP In The Age Of AI

Forbes•Sep 15, 2025

Fake military IDs, bogus résumés: How North Korean and Chinese hackers use AI tools to infiltrate companies and other targets

Business Insider•Sep 15, 2025

Fears over China's nefarious new spying raids on America that are now costing ordinary families $6k a year

Daily Mail•Sep 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch