84 forecasters

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

0.5%chance

0.5%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

May 23, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 25, 2023

Artificial Intelligence

Computing and Math

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Here Are The Billion-Dollar AI Deals Fueling A New Industry—And Possibly A Bubble (List)

Forbes•Oct 29, 2025

Does another tragedy await commercial aviation?

American Thinker•Oct 28, 2025

AWS outage: You thought Monday’s internet outage was bad? Just wait

CNN•Oct 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch