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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

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dschwarz will_aldred

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Energy-hungry AI is already harming health – and it's getting worse

New Scientist•Dec 11, 2024

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

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Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

DarkSide

Energy-hungry AI is already harming health – and it's getting worse

New Scientist•Dec 11, 2024

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Comments

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?