Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

16
57
Total Forecasters185
Community Prediction2% (0.2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dschwarzwill_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Safety
Geopolitics
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Cyber-security regulation
Communication
Deepfake

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