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Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026?

Forecast Timeline

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CandidatesMe
Deny some entities
89%
Deny ≤99 countries
85%
Deny ≥100 countries
10%
Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing
5%
Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing
5%
Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing
5%
Deny all, secret or no new licenses
3%


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