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Group

Will the US restrict transfer of AI architectures, training algorithms, or documentation etc. before 2026?

4
4
13 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

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Restriction scopeMe
Deny some entities
86.7%
Deny ≤99 countries
75%
Deny ≥100 countries
33%
Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing
25%
Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing
20%
Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing
17.8%
Deny all, secret or no new licenses
14.8%
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Scheduled resolution:

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