Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the UCP win the most seats in the 2023 Alberta election?

Resolved :Yes73%
3
3
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction73% (65% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
37.4
Community Peer Score
-2.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
kshiromoto0723
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
2023 Leaderboard
United Conservative Party
Legislative Assembly of Alberta
Danielle Smith
Rachel Notley
Alberta
New Democratic Party

Comments

? comments