Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Elizabeth Holmes be in prison on May 31, 2023?

Resolved :Yes94%
1
7
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction94% (86% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 94%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
80.5
Community Peer Score
12.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
2023 Leaderboard
Silicon Valley
Theranos
Elizabeth Holmes

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