Question

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction12.4 (7.96 - 17.6)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

	<3.5	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20
community	6.0%	7.965	12.39	17.56	15.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<3.5	6.0%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	7.965	—
median	12.39	—
upper 75%	17.56	—
Upper bound
>20	15.3%	—

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

May 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2071

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2073

LGBT

Gallup (company)

Nearly One in 10 U.S. Adults Identifies as L.G.B.T.Q., Survey Finds

New York Times•Feb 21, 2025

Almost 10% of Americans identify as LGBTQ+, largely bisexual

USA Today•Feb 21, 2025

Nearly 1 in 10 U.S. adults identify as LGBTQ, Gallup survey finds

NBC•Feb 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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