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conditional
condition

NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030?

if yes
if no

Second US Civil War Before 2031

3%
3%

Second US Civil War Before 2031

4%
4%
1
1

Make a Prediction

NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030?

Second US Civil War Before 2031

community: 3%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Politics
2019–20 coronavirus pandemic
National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
Insurrection Act
United States
2020 US presidential election

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