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What will be the US : China ratio for the number of significant ML systems in these years?
3
1 comment
1
8 forecasters
Make a Prediction
Year
resolution
2023
-
Year
25th
median
75th
2024
3.75
...
4.73
...
5.82
...
2026
3.4
...
4.82
...
6.32
...
2030
1.79
...
4.49
...
6.52
...
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
3.06
4.17
5.757
3.0%
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Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2026
2024
2030
2023
Background Info
Authors:
dschwarz
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI in China
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
China
Machine learning
United States
Stanford University
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Authors:
dschwarz
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI in China
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
China
Machine learning
United States
Stanford University
Submit Tags Feedback
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News Match
As robotaxi companies stumble in the US, China’s fleet is growing
Verge
•
Dec 17, 2024
Humanoid Robots Being Mass Produced in China
Newsweek
•
Dec 20, 2024
Language AIs in 2024: Size, guardrails and steps toward AI agents
The Conversation
•
Dec 20, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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