Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the US : China ratio for the number of significant ML systems in these years?

3
1
8 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
3.06
4.17
5.757
3.0%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

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