M

Question

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

Resolved :Yes83%
Total Forecasters158
Community Prediction83% (72% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 83%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
25.5
Community Peer Score
5.1
Opened:May 30, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Dec 31, 2025

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