Question
Question
When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?
Resolved :May 28, 2024Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2024-07-03
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My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2026-01-01
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2024-02-29 23:47
2024-07-03 13:37
2024-11-05 15:25
1.5%
What was the final result?May 28, 2024
Community Baseline Score
1.0
Community Peer Score
13.4