36 forecasters

Will there be an emergency shutdown at a Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) facility before January 1, 2025?

1%chance

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 1, 2023