Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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conditional
condition

Fed raises interest rates in June 2023?

Resolved :No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no

S&P 500 closing value on June 14, 2023?

4.27k
Resolved :Annulled4.27k

S&P 500 closing value on June 14, 2023?

4.36k
Resolved :4.37k4.36k
3
1

Make a Prediction

Fed raises interest rates in June 2023?

S&P 500 closing value on June 14, 2023?

My Prediction
community
<3.9k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4.5k
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
4.231k
4.274k
4.318k
0.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Economy & Business
2023 Leaderboard
S&P 500 Index
Federal Open Market Committee
Federal funds rate
Federal Reserve Board of Governors

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