M

Group

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

33
210
227 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CountryMe
Sudan
yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
62%
Democratic Republic of Congo
61.1%
Afghanistan
53%
Ethiopia
51%
Libya
annulled
Iraq
41%
Burkina Faso
40%
Venezuela
40%
Lebanon
35%
Angola
23%
Russia
20%
Nigeria
20%
Iran
18%
Sri Lanka
16%
Zimbabwe
15%
Pakistan
14%
Egypt
13%
South Africa
11%
Colombia
10%
El Salvador
9%
Sierra Leone
8%
Kenya
7.5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%
North Korea
5%
Turkey
5%
Cuba
4%
Ecuador
4%
Mexico
2%
India
2%
China
2%
Israel
2%
Phillipines
2%
Kazakhstan
2%
United States
1.5%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Brazil
1%
France
1%
Hungary
1%
Greece
1%
Jamaica
1%
Romania
1%
Latvia
1%
Argentina
1%
Thailand
1%
Vietnam
1%
Morocco
1%
Serbia
1%
Indonesia
1%
Germany
1%
United Kingdom
0.7%
Canada
0.4%
Japan
0.3%
Australia
0.1%
Resolved Nov 20, 2023
Community Baseline Score
2.8
Community Peer Score
0.2
Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036

Comments

? comments