Question

Will Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili experience a significant leadership disruption before the next scheduled election?

Resolved :Yes50%

3 comments3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction50% (28.5% - 51.4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-1.6

Community Peer Score

4.5

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jun 4, 2023

Closes:

Oct 26, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 26, 2024

Elections

Geopolitics

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

European Union

Irakli Garibashvili

Georgia (U.S. state)

Parliament of Georgia

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Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

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Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

0.3%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jun 4, 2023

Closes:

Oct 26, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 26, 2024

Elections

Geopolitics

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

European Union

Irakli Garibashvili

Georgia (U.S. state)

Parliament of Georgia

Albania’s Elections Could Install Pro-America Beachhead In Europe

Federalist•Mar 6, 2025

Ukraine updates: EU leaders back new defense spending plans – DW – 03

•Mar 7, 2025

Myanmar’s military leader announces dates for general election

Associated Press•Mar 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

85%

Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

0.3%

MetaculusM

Will Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili experience a significant leadership disruption before the next scheduled election?

Make a Prediction

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

Comments

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

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