Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023?

Resolved :Yes98%
14
34
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction98% (92% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
22.5
Community Peer Score
5.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ“° Breaking News Tournament πŸ“°
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukraine
Russia

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