M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Group

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
Kamala Harris (D)
56%
Donald Trump (R)
45%
Nikki Haley (R)
39%
Gavin Newsom (D)
36%
Ron DeSantis (R)
32%
Michelle Obama (D)
31%
Pete Buttigieg (D)
25%
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
25%
Tim Scott (R)
24%
Bernie Sanders (D)
20%
Doug Burgum (R)
18%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
15%
Joe Biden (D)
13%
Josh Shapiro (D)
10%
Mike Pence (R)
7%
Marianne Williamson (D)
1%
Larry Elder (R)
1%
Asa Hutchinson (R)
1%
Chris Christie (R)
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (D)
1%


Comments

? comments