Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

20
82
235 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Donald Trump (R)
yes
Kamala Harris (D)
no
Joe Biden (D)
annulled
Gavin Newsom (D)
annulled
Bernie Sanders (D)
annulled
Ron DeSantis (R)
annulled
Nikki Haley (R)
annulled
Mike Pence (R)
annulled
Josh Shapiro (D)
annulled
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (D)
annulled
Marianne Williamson (D)
annulled
Pete Buttigieg (D)
annulled
Larry Elder (R)
annulled
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
annulled
Asa Hutchinson (R)
annulled
Tim Scott (R)
annulled
Chris Christie (R)
annulled
Doug Burgum (R)
annulled
Michelle Obama (D)
annulled
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
annulled
Resolved Nov 5, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-5.4
Community Peer Score
18.9
Learn more about scores here.
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