🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

20
82
235 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 116

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Bernie Sanders (D)
annulled
Donald Trump (R)
yes
Kamala Harris (D)
no
Joe Biden (D)
annulled
Gavin Newsom (D)
annulled
Ron DeSantis (R)
annulled
Nikki Haley (R)
annulled
Mike Pence (R)
annulled
Josh Shapiro (D)
annulled
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (D)
annulled
Marianne Williamson (D)
annulled
Pete Buttigieg (D)
annulled
Larry Elder (R)
annulled
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
annulled
Asa Hutchinson (R)
annulled
Tim Scott (R)
annulled
Chris Christie (R)
annulled
Doug Burgum (R)
annulled
Michelle Obama (D)
annulled
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
annulled
Resolved Nov 5, 2024
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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