Question
What will be the total burned area (in hectares) of the Canadian wildfires on June 14, 2023?
Resolved :Above upper bound4.37MTotal Forecasters20
Community Prediction4.37M (4.16M - 4.5M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3M | 1.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 4.156M | — |
| median | 4.373M | — |
| upper 75% | >4.5M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >4.5M | 34.0% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
18.7
Community Peer Score
57.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2023
Closes:Jun 13, 2023
Resolves:Jun 19, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2023
Closes:Jun 13, 2023
Resolves:Jun 19, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch