Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the total burned area (in hectares) of the Canadian wildfires on June 14, 2023?

Resolved :Above upper bound4.37M
1
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction4.37M (4.16M - 4.5M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4.5M
...
...
...
...
...
1.5%
4.156M
4.373M
>4.5M
34.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
18.7
Community Peer Score
57.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
Canada
2015 Canadian wildfires
Natural Resources Canada

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