Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will OpenAI open-source GPT-3 before 2024?

Resolved :No1%
6
3
Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
80.4
Community Peer Score
13.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dschwarzwill_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
OpenAI
Sam Altman

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