Question

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction72% (63% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 72%

Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Jun 21, 2023

Closes:

Mar 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 2, 2025

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

The New York Times

Artificial intelligence arms race

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warns of ‘race’ to understand AI as it becomes more powerful

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

77%

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

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