Question

If Donald J. Trump is convicted in the classified documents case, how many months of imprisonment will he be sentenced to?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction8.92 (2.55 - 25.1)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>240

...

2.545

8.918

25.06

0.4%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Department of Justice

United States

Donald Trump

Trump’s lawyers allege juror misconduct in latest bid to get his hush money conviction dismissed

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Donald Trumps Legal Battles Are Reaching A Critical Moment

•Dec 20, 2024

Trump hush money judge refuses to throw out conviction on presidential ‘immunity’ grounds

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

2026-01-01

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Department of Justice

United States

Donald Trump

Trump’s lawyers allege juror misconduct in latest bid to get his hush money conviction dismissed

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Donald Trumps Legal Battles Are Reaching A Critical Moment

•Dec 20, 2024

Trump hush money judge refuses to throw out conviction on presidential ‘immunity’ grounds

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

2026-01-01

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

If Donald J. Trump is convicted in the classified documents case, how many months of imprisonment will he be sentenced to?

Make a Prediction

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

Comments

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?