Question

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 2.5%

Authors:

clearthis Caracoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

AI winter

Google Trends

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

69%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

clearthis Caracoa

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

AI winter

Google Trends

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

69%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

75%

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Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

Make a Prediction

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Comments

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?