Question
What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election?
Resolved :Below lower bound45Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction...
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CDF
My Prediction
community<45
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70
...
...
...
...
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63.8%
<45
<45
46.28
0.1%
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
1.5
Community Peer Score
41.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
