Question

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction3.2% (1% - 6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3.2%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Greece

Turkey

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Representative Office to the United States

Turkish invasion of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus

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Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Greece

Turkey

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Representative Office to the United States

Turkish invasion of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus

Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

8 People Die After Boat Transporting Migrants Capsizes Near Greek Island

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Turkey Masses Troops on Syria Border, Large Scale Invasion May Be Imminent

AntiWar•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

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Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Comments

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?