Question

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction3.2% (1% - 6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3.2%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Sep 23, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2035

Geopolitics

Greece

Turkey

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Representative Office to the United States

Turkish invasion of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus

UN looks to restart peace talks for divided Cyprus

Independent•Jan 22, 2025

The Syria carve-up creates a de-facto Israel-Turkey border ensuring a broader ME war

Strategic Culture•Jan 22, 2025

280 Dead in Heavy Turkish-backed Fighting Over Northern Syria’s Tishreen Dam

AntiWar•Jan 25, 2025

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